arXiv — NLP / Computation & Language · · 3 min read

The Signal-Coverage Matrix: Stratifying Type and Semantic Errors in Statement Autoformalization

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Computer Science > Computation and Language

arXiv:2606.28013 (cs)
[Submitted on 26 Jun 2026]

Title:The Signal-Coverage Matrix: Stratifying Type and Semantic Errors in Statement Autoformalization

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Abstract:Headline type-correctness (TC\%) of LLM autoformalization has climbed from $\sim$53\% to $\sim$76\% in two years, yet this scalar conceals which errors each method resolves. We propose a signal-coverage matrix that crosses the Lean elaborator (pass/fail) with a semantic-equivalence judgment (equivalent/not), sorting every output into one of four cells: true success (TS), type-only (TO), semantic-only (SO), or both fail (BF). On ProofNet\# and MiniF2F-test with DeepSeek V4-Pro across Vanilla, Lean-Retry, Sample-Filter, and Stratified Autoformalization (SAF): (1) the +34 to +36 TS gain across the three elab-feedback methods is $\sim$64\% type-stratum recovery, with SO flat on net (87.5\% of original semantic errors rescued, 8 newly created). (2) The TO-to-TS rate is 23/61 for each method (Wilson 95\% CI [26.6\%, 50.3\%]), and this stratum-level recovery rate predicts $\Delta$TS on held-out methods to within 2/186 and renders $\Delta$TC linear in the Vanilla elab-fail rate across six (model, dataset) cells ($R^2=0.96$). (3) The two judges disagree by 26 to 37 pp on elab-feedback outputs (vs. 7 pp on Vanilla), with 30 to 56\% of symbolic-judge false negatives traceable to elaborator-forced rewrites. The persistent residual reduces to two gold-formalization errors. TC\% gains should be credited by which cell moved, not by the scalar alone.
Subjects: Computation and Language (cs.CL)
Cite as: arXiv:2606.28013 [cs.CL]
  (or arXiv:2606.28013v1 [cs.CL] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2606.28013
arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

Submission history

From: Chengxiao Dai [view email]
[v1] Fri, 26 Jun 2026 12:15:12 UTC (407 KB)
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