arXiv — NLP / Computation & Language · · 3 min read

When Better Turns Do Not Make Better Agents: Diagnosing the Gap Between Next-Turn Metrics and Workflow Success

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Computer Science > Computation and Language

arXiv:2609.21187 (cs)
[Submitted on 18 Sep 2026]

Title:When Better Turns Do Not Make Better Agents: Diagnosing the Gap Between Next-Turn Metrics and Workflow Success

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Abstract:Agent models are frequently evaluated one decision at a time, where the model predicts the next action based on the gold interaction history, which is scored against a reference. We investigate whether improvement under this protocol is predictive of improved autonomous workflow execution. We study pre-SFT and supervised fine-tuned (SFT) Qwen3 models at 4B and 14B parameters and Gemma 3 models at 4B and 12B parameters on multi-turn customer-support workflows. We find that SFT consistently improves text-turn success, and that overall next-turn success increases for every model under gold-history evaluation. However, these improvements do not transfer to autonomous workflow execution. Tool-specific gains also vary across metrics and models. None of the four SFT models succeeds under holistic workflow evaluation, with strict trajectory completion reaching at most 10.4% workflow success. Our results show that next-turn evaluation is not a reliable proxy for workflow success, motivating separate reporting of text quality, local action correctness, tool execution, and end-to-end task completion.
Comments: Accepted to the REALM Workshop at EMNLP 2026
Subjects: Computation and Language (cs.CL)
Cite as: arXiv:2609.21187 [cs.CL]
  (or arXiv:2609.21187v1 [cs.CL] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.21187
arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

Submission history

From: Md Tahmid Rahman Laskar [view email]
[v1] Fri, 18 Sep 2026 01:11:55 UTC (228 KB)
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