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Active Inference as a Convex Markov Decision Process

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Computer Science > Machine Learning

arXiv:2607.20152 (cs)
[Submitted on 22 Jul 2026]

Title:Active Inference as a Convex Markov Decision Process

View a PDF of the paper titled Active Inference as a Convex Markov Decision Process, by Nikola Milosevic and Nicol\'as Hinrichs and Nico Scherf
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Abstract:Active Inference (AIF) frames adaptive behavior as the minimization of expected free energy (EFE), combining epistemic and pragmatic objectives within a single variational principle. We frame AIF as policy optimization and show that, for closed-loop control policies, EFE minimization can be formulated as a convex Markov decision process (MDP). In this formulation, the pragmatic terms are linear in the predictive state marginals and therefore equivalent to reward maximization in a latent MDP, while the epistemic value introduces a nonlinear component that distinguishes EFE minimization from standard reinforcement learning. This perspective further reveals the epistemic drive of active inference as a policy-dependent (performative) reward. We analyze finite-horizon, discounted, and average-reward formulations of EFE and derive a mirror descent (MD) algorithm that locally linearizes the objective around the current state marginals, yielding a policy-dependent reward that is compatible with actor-critic methods and dynamic programming. Finally, we argue that coupling world-model learning with policy optimization gives active inference the structure of performative reinforcement learning, providing a route toward grounding active inference within modern reinforcement learning and optimization theory, including convergence analysis and principled policy improvement guarantees.
Subjects: Machine Learning (cs.LG); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Machine Learning (stat.ML)
Cite as: arXiv:2607.20152 [cs.LG]
  (or arXiv:2607.20152v1 [cs.LG] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2607.20152
arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

Submission history

From: Nikola Milosevic [view email]
[v1] Wed, 22 Jul 2026 13:52:40 UTC (308 KB)
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