Small Experiments, Cheaper Decisions: A Case Study in Staged Promotion for Micro-Pretraining
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Computer Science > Computation and Language
Title:Small Experiments, Cheaper Decisions: A Case Study in Staged Promotion for Micro-Pretraining
Abstract:Short pretraining runs can reduce experimental cost, but they can also over-promote configurations that only look strong at tiny budgets. We study an auditable staged-promotion protocol for a fixed micro-pretraining runner on two heterogeneous host blocks: Windows A100 and Linux L40S. Starting from twelve prior-screened configurations, we use staged budgets of 2 minutes, 5 minutes, 10 minutes, 60 minutes, and 12 hours, with frozen promotion rules before expensive continuations.
The early screens are intentionally treated as unstable: the 5- and 10-minute rankings are host-sensitive, and the eventual 12-hour top-ranked condition is not the mean-best condition at the replicated 10-minute gate. Because seed ranges differ across stages, these changes are operational promotion evidence, not within-seed curves. A replicated 60-minute gate keeps the Staged Factorial Screening bridge reference in the promoted set, where it ranks first in all four 60-minute host-seed cells. In the final 12-hour confirmation package, the bridge condition ranks first in all four host-seed cells across two seeds; the greedy comparator does not meet the frozen 0.010 val_bpb near-equivalence rule; and the cheaper d8/ar48 (depth-8, aspect-48) sentinel does not meet the frozen 0.020 mean-gap rule.
The executed 12-hour branch spends 144 GPU-hours, and the full staged protocol records 169.2 training GPU-hours including screening stages. Continuing all four 60-minute candidates would spend 192 GPU-hours, while continuing all nine replicated 10-minute candidates would spend 432 GPU-hours. The latter numbers are accounting counterfactuals for unrun continuations, not evidence that skipped candidates could not have overtaken the reference. The result is a bounded cost-allocation finding, not a claim of global optimality, capacity-normalized superiority, or superiority over adaptive hyperparameter optimization methods.
| Comments: | 14 pages, 5 figures; 12-hour dual-host micro-pretraining promotion study; source package includes curated ancillary artifacts |
| Subjects: | Computation and Language (cs.CL); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Machine Learning (cs.LG) |
| Cite as: | arXiv:2606.11387 [cs.CL] |
| (or arXiv:2606.11387v1 [cs.CL] for this version) | |
| https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2606.11387
arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)
|
Submission history
From: Felipe Chavarro Polania [view email][v1] Tue, 9 Jun 2026 19:10:54 UTC (474 KB)
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Ancillary files (details):
- MANIFEST.csv
- MANIFEST.json
- README.txt
- analysis/p06_budget_counterfactual_2026-05-02.csv
- analysis/p06_budget_counterfactual_2026-05-02.json
- analysis/p06_promotion_survival_2026-05-02.csv
- analysis/p06_promotion_survival_2026-05-02.json
- analysis/p06_stage0_smoke_summary_2026-05-02.csv
- analysis/p06_stage0_smoke_summary_2026-05-02.json
- analysis/p06_threshold_sensitivity_2026-05-02.csv
- analysis/p06_threshold_sensitivity_2026-05-02.json
- analysis/stage1_10min_seed42_seed43_top9_promotion_decision.json
- analysis/stage1_10min_seed42_seed43_top9_promotion_summary.csv
- analysis/stage1_5min_host_comparison.csv
- analysis/stage1_5min_host_comparison.json
- analysis/stage2_60min_seed44_seed45_combined_decision.csv
- analysis/stage2_60min_seed44_seed45_combined_decision.json
- analysis/stage3_12h_seed46_seed47_combined_cells.csv
- analysis/stage3_12h_seed46_seed47_combined_decision.json
- analysis/stage3_12h_seed46_seed47_combined_summary.csv
- control/README.txt
- control/analyze_p06_offline_readiness_checks.py
- control/analyze_stage3_12h_seed46_seed47.py
- control/analyze_stage_summary.py
- control/apply_stage1_promotion_gate.py
- control/generate_paper06_figures.py
- control/materialize_p06_runs.py
- control/parse_train_summary.py
- control/summarize_p06_runs.py
- control/verify_checkpoint.py
- figure_manifest.json
- matrices/paper06_starter_matrix_2026-04-27.csv
- preanalysis/EXPERIMENT_DESIGN_DECISION_2026-04-28.txt
- preanalysis/PREANALYSIS_STAGE1_SEED43_TO_60MIN_2026-04-28.txt
- preanalysis/PREANALYSIS_STAGE2_60MIN_SEED44_2026-04-28.txt
- preanalysis/PREANALYSIS_STAGE3B_12H_SEED47_2026-04-30.txt
- preanalysis/PREANALYSIS_STAGE3_12H_SEED46_2026-04-29.txt
- preanalysis/STAGE1_5MIN_ANALYSIS_2026-04-27.txt
- preanalysis/STAGE2_60MIN_SEED44_DECISION_2026-04-28.txt
- preanalysis/STAGE2_60MIN_SEED45_DECISION_2026-04-29.txt
- preanalysis/STAGE3B_12H_SEED47_DECISION_2026-05-02.txt
- preanalysis/STAGE3_12H_SEED46_DECISION_2026-04-30.txt
- remote-results/linux_stage0_summary.csv
- remote-results/linux_stage1_10min_seed43_top9_summary.csv
- remote-results/linux_stage1_10min_summary.csv
- remote-results/linux_stage1_5min_summary.csv
- remote-results/linux_stage2_60min_seed44_gate4_summary.csv
- remote-results/linux_stage2_60min_seed45_gate4_summary.csv
- remote-results/linux_stage3_12h_seed46_anchor3_summary.csv
- remote-results/linux_stage3b_12h_seed47_anchor3_summary.csv
- remote-results/windows_stage0_summary.csv
- remote-results/windows_stage1_10min_seed43_top9_summary.csv
- remote-results/windows_stage1_10min_summary.csv
- remote-results/windows_stage1_5min_summary.csv
- remote-results/windows_stage2_60min_seed44_gate4_summary.csv
- remote-results/windows_stage2_60min_seed45_gate4_summary.csv
- remote-results/windows_stage3_12h_seed46_anchor3_summary.csv
- remote-results/windows_stage3b_12h_seed47_anchor3_summary.csv
- source/runner__train_p06_instrumented.py
- source/source__autoresearch-seed__prepare.py
- source/source__autoresearch-seed__pyproject.toml
- source/source__autoresearch-seed__train.py
- table_manifest.json
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