Title:The Readout Shortcut: Positional Number Copying Dominates Arithmetic CoT Readout in Small Language Models

Abstract:Chain-of-thought (CoT) prompting is necessary for arithmetic in small language models, yet shuffling its steps preserves most performance. What does CoT contribute if not logical sequencing? In three 1-3B instruction-tuned LMs on GSM8K, we isolate the answer-readout stage via prefix completion and identify a positional shortcut: the model copies whichever number occupies the trailing position before the answer delimiter, regardless of intermediate reasoning. Gold-answer presence accounts for 54-92 pp of accuracy (89-92% of each model's teacher-forcing ceiling); even on incorrect items, the final answer matches the last CoT number 95-96% of the time. The copy channel takes precedence over retained-context completion: replacing the trailing number with a wrong value collapses accuracy to near-zero despite correct intermediates, yet removing it recovers 5-32 pp above that floor--even single-step arithmetic the model can otherwise perform is suppressed when a copyable number is present. Qwen and Llama copy novel distractors 87-95% of the time; Gemma gates selectively. Head-level ablation implicates architecture-specific head sets; the effect replicates on GSM-Symbolic. On non-arithmetic BBH tasks, shuffle retention drops sharply; at 7-8B, content-selective gating emerges. Step-level faithfulness evaluations risk conflating positional answer transport with genuine computation--a failure mode for CoT-based oversight.

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