arXiv — Machine Learning · · 3 min read

Forward and Inverse Virtual Metrology for Phototransistor Gain: A Hierarchical, Uncertainty-Aware Approach for Small Production Datasets

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Computer Science > Machine Learning

arXiv:2608.11868 (cs)
[Submitted on 12 Aug 2026]

Title:Forward and Inverse Virtual Metrology for Phototransistor Gain: A Hierarchical, Uncertainty-Aware Approach for Small Production Datasets

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Abstract:The customization, optimization and stabilization of the process flow of a silicon bipolar phototransistor commits months of cleanroom time before a finished device can be measured, so a model that predicts device gain from process parameters before a run has value out of proportion to its accuracy. We study this problem on a real fabrication history, thirteen to fourteen process runs of a single device: a small-sample, hierarchically structured setting unlike the large-corpus regime of conventional virtual metrology. Decomposing the variance of device gain, we find that roughly half of it lies between process runs rather than within them, so recipe-only prediction is bounded by construction. Building on these findings we provide a forward gain predictor with a relative, uncertainty-aware signal, an inverse search that returns recipes for a target gain, and, as the foundation for all of it, a multi-level data-quality assessment tailored to the nested physical entities of fabrication (batch, wafer, die) with an explicit cross-level linkage score. The normalized dataset and analysis code are released for full reproducibility.
Comments: 43 pages, 15 figures
Subjects: Machine Learning (cs.LG); Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science (cs.CE); Systems and Control (eess.SY)
Cite as: arXiv:2608.11868 [cs.LG]
  (or arXiv:2608.11868v1 [cs.LG] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2608.11868
arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

Submission history

From: Mahshid Amirabgir [view email]
[v1] Wed, 12 Aug 2026 09:51:15 UTC (4,753 KB)
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