Title:MGSB: Manifold Gated Signature Branch Pressure-Domain Baseline Architecture for Two-Phase Pipeline Flows Under Distributional Shift

Abstract:Leak detection models for multiphase pipelines often degrade when deployed under flow regimes that differ from training. Existing evaluations typically assess performance under in-distribution operating conditions, masking failures caused by regime transitions such as bubble-to-slug flow. We propose the Manifold Gated Signature Bias (MGSB), a regime-aware architecture combining regime-conditioned feature fusion, a TT-RoughPath encoder, and Mean-Teacher consistency regularization to improve robustness under distribution shift. Under leave-one-group-out evaluation, MGSB achieves a detection F1 of 0.930 and an OOD F1 of 0.783, substantially outperforming CNN-LSTM and fully connected baselines under severe feature corruption. Ablations show the proposed architecture, not the training procedure, is the primary contributor to OOD robustness, while Mahalanobis-distance analysis confirms the held-out conditions are genuinely out-of-distribution. These results show that explicit regime-aware modelling is a practical path toward robust, sensor-agnostic leak detection in industrial multiphase pipelines.

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