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CLAM: Causal Spatial Disaggregation to Infer Local Effects From Coarse Data

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Computer Science > Machine Learning

arXiv:2608.08064 (cs)
[Submitted on 8 Aug 2026]

Title:CLAM: Causal Spatial Disaggregation to Infer Local Effects From Coarse Data

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Abstract:Learning fine-grained spatial patterns from coarse-resolution data is challenging, especially in causal settings where high-resolution effects must be inferred from aggregated interventions and outcomes. We introduce CLAM, a method for estimating localized causal effects from coarse observations by exploiting high-resolution contextual covariates that modulate these effects. By jointly learning the causal mechanism and a disaggregation mapping, CLAM captures interactions that are missed when addressing these problems independently. The method supports localized effect estimation, counterfactual reasoning, and principled outcome disaggregation, and reliably captures spatially varying causal effects across diverse settings. This is particularly relevant for applications such as public health and environmental policy, where decisions are made at broad scales despite substantial local heterogeneity. Code is available at this https URL
Subjects: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
Cite as: arXiv:2608.08064 [cs.LG]
  (or arXiv:2608.08064v1 [cs.LG] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2608.08064
arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

Submission history

From: Gerrit Großmann [view email]
[v1] Sat, 8 Aug 2026 11:05:19 UTC (4,175 KB)
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