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PINE: Pruning Boosted Tree Ensembles with Conformal In-Distribution Prediction Equivalence

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Computer Science > Machine Learning

arXiv:2605.28068 (cs)
[Submitted on 27 May 2026]

Title:PINE: Pruning Boosted Tree Ensembles with Conformal In-Distribution Prediction Equivalence

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Abstract:Tree ensembles are machine learning models with strong predictive performance and interpretability, and remain widely used for tabular data. Standard pruning methods for tree ensembles typically optimize an accuracy-compression trade-off and may change a subset of predictions, potentially compromising decision consistency. Faithful pruning methods address this issue by preserving prediction equivalence over the entire input space, but this requirement leads to lower compression ratios. We propose PINE, a pruning method that provides strong guarantees within an in-distribution region. PINE preserves prediction equivalence within this region and controls the region size using a single parameter $\alpha$ via conformal calibration. Experiments on 12 public tabular datasets show that PINE improves the compression ratio by up to $30\%$ while preserving predictions at a comparable level to existing faithful pruning methods.
Comments: Accepted to ICML 2026
Subjects: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
Cite as: arXiv:2605.28068 [cs.LG]
  (or arXiv:2605.28068v1 [cs.LG] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2605.28068
arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

Submission history

From: Haruki Yajima [view email]
[v1] Wed, 27 May 2026 07:25:06 UTC (2,531 KB)
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