Rethinking Post-Training Recipes for Multimodal Time-Series Forecasting
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Computer Science > Machine Learning
Title:Rethinking Post-Training Recipes for Multimodal Time-Series Forecasting
Abstract:Time-Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) excel at zero-shot unimodal forecasting using numerical data, but unlike LLMs they cannot consume multimodal, non-numerical context that often shape real-world trajectories. In this work, we bridge this gap and argue for a multimodal time-series forecasting approach that post-trains LLMs to act as context-guided revisors over strong numerical TSFM priors. We introduce PostTime, a post-training recipe combining Supervised Fine-Tuning (SFT) and Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR), along with a methodology to generate automated reasoning traces for forecast revisions. PostTime teaches an LLM to generate context-conditioned forecast interventions -- decisions to revise, preserve, or ignore the TSFM prior based on the multimodal context. We evaluate this approach on the TimesX multimodal forecasting benchmark using a Gemma-3-4B LLM and TimesFM-2.5 TSFM, and show that it significantly outperforms standalone TSFMs, LLM-only baselines, and existing multimodal forecasting approaches.
| Subjects: | Machine Learning (cs.LG) |
| Cite as: | arXiv:2605.29401 [cs.LG] |
| (or arXiv:2605.29401v1 [cs.LG] for this version) | |
| https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2605.29401
arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)
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