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Rethinking Post-Training Recipes for Multimodal Time-Series Forecasting

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Computer Science > Machine Learning

arXiv:2605.29401 (cs)
[Submitted on 28 May 2026]

Title:Rethinking Post-Training Recipes for Multimodal Time-Series Forecasting

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Abstract:Time-Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) excel at zero-shot unimodal forecasting using numerical data, but unlike LLMs they cannot consume multimodal, non-numerical context that often shape real-world trajectories. In this work, we bridge this gap and argue for a multimodal time-series forecasting approach that post-trains LLMs to act as context-guided revisors over strong numerical TSFM priors. We introduce PostTime, a post-training recipe combining Supervised Fine-Tuning (SFT) and Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR), along with a methodology to generate automated reasoning traces for forecast revisions. PostTime teaches an LLM to generate context-conditioned forecast interventions -- decisions to revise, preserve, or ignore the TSFM prior based on the multimodal context. We evaluate this approach on the TimesX multimodal forecasting benchmark using a Gemma-3-4B LLM and TimesFM-2.5 TSFM, and show that it significantly outperforms standalone TSFMs, LLM-only baselines, and existing multimodal forecasting approaches.
Subjects: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
Cite as: arXiv:2605.29401 [cs.LG]
  (or arXiv:2605.29401v1 [cs.LG] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2605.29401
arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

Submission history

From: Haoxin Liu [view email]
[v1] Thu, 28 May 2026 05:52:28 UTC (186 KB)
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