Distributed JEPA: A Self-Supervised Framework for Energy Forecasting
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Computer Science > Machine Learning
Title:Distributed JEPA: A Self-Supervised Framework for Energy Forecasting
Abstract:Traditional energy forecasting solutions rely on task-specific supervision and energy asset representations, limiting transferability and the ability to capture general temporal dynamics across heterogeneous assets. We address this by proposing a distributed Joint Embedding Predictive Architecture (JEPA) for self-supervised learning from heterogeneous energy time-series. The framework predicts latent representations of masked temporal segments while integrating temporal observations and contextual information within a shared embedding space. To prevent representation collapse, training combines a latent-space predictive objective with covariance and temporal variance regularization. The evaluation was conducted on energy consumption and generation datasets under data-degradation scenarios and compared with a Transformer forecasting baseline. The learned representations remained stable (cosine similarity $\approx 0.98$; effective rank 185-235). JEPA achieved performance comparable to a Transformer on building energy data, higher $R^2$ in 3/5 consumer clusters, and outperformed the baseline on 9/10 unseen PVs ($R^2$=0.73-0.88 vs. <0.45), while showing greater robustness to missing data.
| Subjects: | Machine Learning (cs.LG); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI) |
| Cite as: | arXiv:2609.17029 [cs.LG] |
| (or arXiv:2609.17029v1 [cs.LG] for this version) | |
| https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.17029
arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)
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