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A Transferable Autologistic Model for Predicting Rare Failures in Heterogeneous Equipment

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Computer Science > Machine Learning

arXiv:2608.06695 (cs)
[Submitted on 7 Aug 2026]

Title:A Transferable Autologistic Model for Predicting Rare Failures in Heterogeneous Equipment

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Abstract:Predicting failures before they occur remains a major challenge in predictive maintenance, particularly when failures are rare, when equipment of the same family differ in sensor configurations, and when the goal is anticipation rather than diagnosis of an already observed fault. This paper proposes a common-to-target probabilistic model that learns shared failure-related patterns across a family of heterogeneous equipment and adapts parsimoniously to target equipment. The model explicitly accounts for sensor heterogeneity, operating context, and degradation dynamics to produce calibrated failureprobability estimates suitable for maintenance planning. Its performance is evaluated on a synthetic refrigerator dataset comprising 27 simulated refrigerators with varying sensor configurations, operating conditions, and failure types, providing a controlle
Subjects: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
Cite as: arXiv:2608.06695 [cs.LG]
  (or arXiv:2608.06695v1 [cs.LG] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2608.06695
arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

Submission history

From: Djemel Ziou [view email]
[v1] Fri, 7 Aug 2026 01:48:11 UTC (1,295 KB)
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