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NIVA: A Multimodal Foundation Model for Actionable Earth System Intelligence

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Computer Science > Machine Learning

arXiv:2606.28546 (cs)
[Submitted on 26 Jun 2026]

Title:NIVA: A Multimodal Foundation Model for Actionable Earth System Intelligence

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Abstract:Recent advances in AI-driven weather and climate modeling have improved forecast skill while reducing computational cost. However, existing data-driven approaches are limited in their ability to model coupled Earth system dynamics, which is required for extending predictability beyond the ~2-week horizon. To address this, we introduce NIVA, a multimodal foundation model designed to learn unified representations across Earth system components. While the full framework targets atmosphere, ocean, ice, and land interactions, we focus here on a two-modality setting (ocean and atmosphere) as a controlled proof of concept to evaluate whether foundation models can learn coupled dynamics. Trained on large-scale Earth system simulations, NIVA learns physically meaningful cross-modal structure, providing a foundation for subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction. As initial validation, we show that NIVA captures key modes of climate variability through accurate prediction of major climate indices.
Subjects: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
Cite as: arXiv:2606.28546 [cs.LG]
  (or arXiv:2606.28546v1 [cs.LG] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2606.28546
arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

Submission history

From: Anisha Pal [view email]
[v1] Fri, 26 Jun 2026 19:01:41 UTC (3,225 KB)
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