arXiv — Machine Learning · · 3 min read

From Confident Closing to Silent Failure: Characterizing False Success in LLM Agents

Mirrored from arXiv — Machine Learning for archival readability. Support the source by reading on the original site.

Computer Science > Machine Learning

arXiv:2606.09863 (cs)
[Submitted on 1 Jun 2026]

Title:From Confident Closing to Silent Failure: Characterizing False Success in LLM Agents

Authors:Laksh Advani
View a PDF of the paper titled From Confident Closing to Silent Failure: Characterizing False Success in LLM Agents, by Laksh Advani
View PDF HTML (experimental)
Abstract:LLM agents can fail silently by asserting task completion when the environment state shows otherwise. We study this failure mode, false success, across two agent benchmarks: 9,876 tau2-bench trajectories from 8 model families and 1,879 AppWorld trajectories from 4 model families with text-independent ground truth. False success is common but varies by setting: 45--48% of failures in single-control tau2-bench domains, 3% in dual-control telecom, and 75.8% among AppWorld self-assessing coding-agent trajectories with explicit status claims. LLM judges fail reliably: no configuration across 5 judges, 5 prompt strategies, and full task specifications exceeds AUROC 0.65 on tau2-bench, and the same judges reach only 0.54 AUROC on AppWorld API-call traces. Judges rely on surface completion proxies -- confident closing language in tau2-bench and coarse action-sequence volume in AppWorld -- rather than verified state changes. Lightweight TF-IDF detectors achieve task-disjoint AUROC 0.83 on tau2-bench and 0.95 on AppWorld, recovering 4--8x more false successes than the best judge at the same flag rate with 3,300x lower latency. These results suggest that production monitoring should use lightweight, domain-calibrated detectors as triage signals rather than relying on LLM judges as the primary monitor for false success.
Comments: Accepted to FAGEN@ICML2026
Subjects: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
Cite as: arXiv:2606.09863 [cs.LG]
  (or arXiv:2606.09863v1 [cs.LG] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2606.09863
arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

Submission history

From: Laksh Advani [view email]
[v1] Mon, 1 Jun 2026 00:13:23 UTC (174 KB)
Full-text links:

Access Paper:

Current browse context:

cs.LG
< prev   |   next >
Change to browse by:
cs

References & Citations

Loading...

BibTeX formatted citation

loading...
Data provided by:

Bookmark

BibSonomy Reddit
Bibliographic Tools

Bibliographic and Citation Tools

Bibliographic Explorer Toggle
Bibliographic Explorer (What is the Explorer?)
Connected Papers Toggle
Connected Papers (What is Connected Papers?)
Litmaps Toggle
Litmaps (What is Litmaps?)
scite.ai Toggle
scite Smart Citations (What are Smart Citations?)
Code, Data, Media

Code, Data and Media Associated with this Article

alphaXiv Toggle
alphaXiv (What is alphaXiv?)
Links to Code Toggle
CatalyzeX Code Finder for Papers (What is CatalyzeX?)
DagsHub Toggle
DagsHub (What is DagsHub?)
GotitPub Toggle
Gotit.pub (What is GotitPub?)
Huggingface Toggle
Hugging Face (What is Huggingface?)
ScienceCast Toggle
ScienceCast (What is ScienceCast?)
Demos

Demos

Replicate Toggle
Replicate (What is Replicate?)
Spaces Toggle
Hugging Face Spaces (What is Spaces?)
Spaces Toggle
TXYZ.AI (What is TXYZ.AI?)
Related Papers

Recommenders and Search Tools

Link to Influence Flower
Influence Flower (What are Influence Flowers?)
Core recommender toggle
CORE Recommender (What is CORE?)
IArxiv recommender toggle
IArxiv Recommender (What is IArxiv?)
About arXivLabs

arXivLabs: experimental projects with community collaborators

arXivLabs is a framework that allows collaborators to develop and share new arXiv features directly on our website.

Both individuals and organizations that work with arXivLabs have embraced and accepted our values of openness, community, excellence, and user data privacy. arXiv is committed to these values and only works with partners that adhere to them.

Have an idea for a project that will add value for arXiv's community? Learn more about arXivLabs.

Discussion (0)

Sign in to join the discussion. Free account, 30 seconds — email code or GitHub.

Sign in →

No comments yet. Sign in and be the first to say something.

More from arXiv — Machine Learning