arXiv — NLP / Computation & Language · · 3 min read

Calibration as a First-Class Criterion in LLM Evaluation

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Computer Science > Computation and Language

arXiv:2609.26489 (cs)
[Submitted on 22 Sep 2026]

Title:Calibration as a First-Class Criterion in LLM Evaluation

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Abstract:Calibration of language models -- the alignment between expressed or implicit confidence and empirical correctness -- is a well-studied subfield within NLP. Methods to measure it already exist. The problem is adoption: outside this subfield, NLP research regularly introduces new models, datasets, and benchmarks without checking whether the model's confidence scores are meaningful. We argue that this adoption gap is a major obstacle to trustworthy LLM evaluation. Miscalibration causes problems in two distinct areas: at deployment, where overconfident mistakes cause real harm, and inside the research pipeline, where methods like LLM-as-a-judge, synthetic data generation, and active learning rely on calibrated confidence without verifying it. Standard calibration metrics only require two inputs per example: a confidence score and a correctness judgment. Most benchmarks in use today already provide both, meaning calibration can be reported immediately. For open-ended generation, however, defining these two inputs is still an open challenge. We argue that each NLP subfield should pair its main performance metric with a calibration score and call for treating calibration as an essential property of every model rather than a niche topic.
Comments: Accepted to the 3rd Workshop on Uncertainty-Aware NLP (UncertaiNLP) at EMNLP 2026
Subjects: Computation and Language (cs.CL)
Cite as: arXiv:2609.26489 [cs.CL]
  (or arXiv:2609.26489v1 [cs.CL] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.26489
arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

Submission history

From: Mario Sanz-Guerrero [view email]
[v1] Tue, 22 Sep 2026 14:28:31 UTC (36 KB)
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