arXiv — NLP / Computation & Language · · 3 min read

Metadata Predictability Is Not Evidence Dependence: An Intervention-Based Audit for Weak-Label Benchmarks

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Computer Science > Computation and Language

arXiv:2605.23701 (cs)
[Submitted on 22 May 2026]

Title:Metadata Predictability Is Not Evidence Dependence: An Intervention-Based Audit for Weak-Label Benchmarks

Authors:Kan Shao
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Abstract:We study a protocol-level test for weak-label benchmarks: whether benchmark outputs change when the provided evidence is intervened on. Metadata-only shortcut checks answer a different question, namely whether outputs are predictable from metadata priors. We therefore combine a metadata statistic, the Metadata Prior Dominance Score (MPDS), with an evidence-intervention statistic, {\Delta}Evi, measuring sensitivity to evidence identity under cross-item shuffling. Synthetic HotpotQA gives a constructed counterexample to metadata-only screening: MPDS is only moderate (0.643), yet {\Delta}Evi is zero. Stronger-reader reruns show why calibration belongs in the test procedure: SNLI shows a calibration reversal, reconstructed HotpotQA occupies a question-dominant warning region, and FEVER is a strongly evidence-sensitive positive control across four transformers. The practical lesson is simple: benchmark audits should report metadata-only screening, evidence intervention, and reader-strength calibration together.
Comments: 5 pages, 1 figure, 1 table. Accepted at ICML 2026 Workshop on Hypothesis Testing
Subjects: Computation and Language (cs.CL)
Cite as: arXiv:2605.23701 [cs.CL]
  (or arXiv:2605.23701v1 [cs.CL] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2605.23701
arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

Submission history

From: Kan Shao [view email]
[v1] Fri, 22 May 2026 14:52:32 UTC (247 KB)
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